同一周两份报告——一份说全球已有 680 万数字员工、2035 年将达 7200 亿，另一份说'目前没有系统性失业增长'。两份都对。人们在恐慌错误的时间线。短期冲击被高估，长期影响被严重低估，正确的应对是成为能指挥 AI 团队的那个人。

Two reports dropped the same week — one says 6.8M digital workers today scaling to 720 billion by 2035, the other says 'no systematic unemployment yet.' Both are right. People are panicking about the wrong timeline. Short-term fear is overblown, long-term impact is wildly underestimated, and the right move is to become the person who orchestrates AI teams.

一年前两篇文章预言 AI 会锁死财富格局、让人类变得无关紧要。十二个月过去，记分卡出来了：入门岗位确实在塌，资本集中超出预期，但开源和超级个体是谁都没料到的反转。

A year ago, two essays predicted AI would create permanent wealth lock-in and make humans economically irrelevant. Twelve months later, the scorecard is in: entry-level jobs are collapsing, capital concentration exceeded predictions, but open source and solo founders are the counter-force nobody saw coming.